The armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has now lasted for one and a half years. What seemed in the beginning like a mere power struggle between two military leaders has deepened regional tensions, caused a severe humanitarian crisis, and attracted foreign military support. The war in Sudan has, however, been overshadowed by other wars in Europe and the Middle East drawing little attention from international actors. Even the numerous mediation attempts have collapsed without key outcomes. What are the scenarios for Sudan as the conflict approaches the third year? What role can Uganda play in order to foster a ceasefire?
